UNLV vs West Virginia 10/9/2010

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West Virginia is a heavy favorite winning 91% of simulations over UNLV. Geno Smith is averaging 240 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Noel Devine is projected for 134 rushing yards and a 74% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 9% of simulations where UNLV wins, Omar Clayton averages 1.67 TD passes vs 0.85 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.69 TDs to 1.13 interceptions. Channing Trotter averages 35 rushing yards and 0.27 rushing TDs when UNLV wins and 31 yards and 0.14 TDs in losses. West Virginia has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WVA -27.5

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